On February 25 - 26th, 2019, we will attend a scoping workshop to discuss development of a decadal forecast service at the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). The aim of the workshop is to discuss the user needs and the state of play from the scientific and operational climate prediction communities for the decadal timescale. The workshop will include presentations and discussion on the following topics:
In this context, we will share our expertise in developing such a decadal forecast service in the the H2020 CLARA project.
The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) is part of the European Union's Copernicus Programme, which is a comprehensive earth observation and monitoring program. C3S is aimed specifically at providing reliable and accurate information about the past, present, and future states of the climate in Europe and across the world. It supports a wide array of activities ranging from policy-making and business operations to informing the general public about climate change.
Decadal climate predictions, also referred to as near-term climate predictions, are forecasts of the climate system's state over the next one to a few decades, typically up to 10 years ahead. They occupy the temporal middle ground between weather forecasts, which cover days to weeks, and long-term climate projections, which look several decades to centuries ahead. Decadal predictions, or decadal forecast services, aim to provide information on climate conditions in the relatively near future, considering both natural climate variability and human-induced changes.