Climate projections

Our climate projections data are suitable for direct use in climate change impact studies and physical risk assessments. Our referenced high-resolution, multi-model, and multi-scenarios climate projections of weather hazard and variables, is the most coherent collection of climate information available for risk analysis and modeling.
Climate W3

Data specifications

High-resolution

A spatial resolution of 0.10°x0.10° (about 10x10 km) over the globe. Temporal resolution is annual for the hazards indicators, daily for the variables, and covers the period from 1981 to 2100.

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Multi-scenario

Three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways from IPCC AR6 (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) based on the CMIP6 experiment. Other scenarios available on demand. Global Warming levels are also available.

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Multi-model

The five reference Earth System Models from IPCC AR6 selected by the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP). More models are added progressively.

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Climate hazards projections

Fire weather index

Wildfires

Wildfire hazard indicators based on the Canadian Fire Weather System: Fire Weather Index, Extreme Danger Days and Fire Season Length.
Landslide Risk Index

Landslides

Landslide hazard indicators based on NASA’s Landslide Hazard Assessment for Situational Awareness (LHASA) model: Nowcast days for very high, high, and medium risk.
High-resolution CMIP6 indicators

Storms

Storms hazard indicators based on daily maximum surface wind speed: Storm Severity index (SSI) based on scaled exceedance and extreme wind days.
High-resolution CMIP6 indicators

Heat waves

Heat waves hazard indicators based on daily maximum and minimum surface temperature: heat wave duration index and periods, consecutive summer days and periods, very warm days and nights.
A dataset of CMIP6 high-resolution climate projections of climate indicators

Cold and frost waves

Cold and frost waves hazard indicators based on daily maximum and minimum surface temperature: cold wave duration index and duration, consecutive frost days index and periods, very cold days and nights.
Fire weather index

Droughts

Meteorological drought hazard indicators based on daily total precipitation: dry days Index, consecutive dry days index, number of consecutive dry days periods.
A dataset of CMIP6 high-resolution climate projections of climate indicators

Heavy precipitation

Heavy precipitation hazard indicators based on daily total precipitation: very heavy precipitation days, very wet days, precipitation fraction due to very wet days, and highest five-days precipitation amount.
A dataset of CMIP6 high-resolution climate projections of climate indicators

Floods

Pluvial flood hazard indicators based on daily total precipitation: maximum consecutive five-days precipitation, extreme precipitation total, frequency of extreme precipitation.
Fire Weather index projections

Temperature variability and change 

Temperature statistics indicators based on daily mean, maximum and minimum surface temperature: monthly daily mean/max/min temperature and daily temperature range by calendar month.
A dataset of CMIP6 high-resolution climate projections of climate indicators

Precipitation variability and change 

Total precipitation statistics indicators based on daily total precipitation: monthly total precipitation by calendar months, rainy days, rainy days, consecutive rainy days, consecutive rainy periods.
High-resolution CMIP6 indicators

Water stress

Evapotranspiration indicators according to several formulas.
High-resolution CMIP6 indicators

Soil erosion

Rainfall induced soil erosion.
High-resolution CMIP6 indicators

Tropical Storms

Return periods and levels due to tropical storms (cyclones, hurricanes and typhoons).

Access conditions

The climate hazard projections are available under an annual licence. Data regions go by location, country or continent.

Climate variables projections

High-resolution CMIP6 indicators

Weather variables from IPCC AR6 (CMIP6)

A global dataset at 0.1° degrees resolution of 9 essential surface variables (temperature mean/max/min, total precipitation, wind speed mean/max, and relative humidity min/max) from 5 climate models under 3 SSP scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5).
Free for public research through the ESGF repository.
High-resolution CMIP5 indicators

Weather variables from IPCC AR5 (CMIP5) - Legagy

A global dataset at 0.25° degrees resolution of 6 essential surface variables (temperature mean/max/min, total precipitation, wind speed and solar radiation) from 21 climate models under 2 scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).
Free for public research through the ESGF repository

Access conditions

The climate variables projections are available under an annual licence. Data regions go by location, country or continent. 

Climate interactive map

Explore variables and hazards from high-resolution climate projections data in an animated interactive map. 
High-resolution climate projections