Climate projections

Our climate projections data are suitable for direct use in climate change impact studies and physical risk assessments. Our referenced high-resolution, multi-model, and multi-scenarios climate projections of weather variables, indices and hazards is the most coherent collection of climate information available for local risk analysis and modeling.

Data specifications

High-resolution

From 0.25°x0.25° (about 25x25 km) to 0.10°x0.10° (about 10x10 km) spatial resolution over the globe according to datasets and CMIP climate modelling experiments (CMIP5 and CMIP6). Temporal resolution is daily values from 1951 to 2100.

Multi-scenario

Three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways from IPCC AR6 (CMIP6's SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) and 2 Representative Concentration Pathways from IPCC AR5 (CMIP5's RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Other scenarios available on demand.

Multi-model

5 reference Earth System Models for IPCC AR6 (CMIP6) and a full set of 21 models for IPCC AR5 (CMIP5). For our AR6 data we privileged a higher spatial resolution (0.10° versus 0.25°) and more scenarios (3 versus 2) compared to our IPCC AR5 data.

Access conditions

The climate projections data are available under an annual licence (special conditions for publicly funded research). Data regions go by location, country or continent.

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Climate porjections from IPCC AR6 (CMIP6)

A dataset of CMIP6 high-resolution climate projections of climate indicators

Weather variables

A global dataset at 0.1° degrees resolution of 9 essential surface variables (temperature mean/max/min, total precipitation, wind speed mean/max, and relative humidity min/max) from 5 climate models under 3 SSP scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5).

Indices

A global dataset at 0.1° degrees resolution of over 40 indices based on temperature (mean/max/min) and total precipitation from 5 climate models under 3 scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5).

Wildfire

A global dataset at 0.1° degrees resolution of Wildfire danger indicators based on the Canadian Fire Weather System from 5 climate models under 3 IPCC AR6 scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5).

Landslide

A global dataset 0.1° degrees resolution of Landslide hazard indicators based on NASA’s Landslide Hazard Assessment for Situational Awareness (LHASA) model from 5 climate models under 3 IPCC AR6 scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5).

Storm Severity Index

A global dataset of Storm Severity Index from 5 climate models under 3 IPCC AR6 scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) and 4 climate models under 2 IPCC AR5 scenarios (RCP8.5 and RCP4.5) at 0.25° and 0.1° degrees resolution respectively.

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Climate projections from IPCC AR5 (CMIP5)

Weather variables

A European dataset at 0.10° degrees resolution of 6 surface variables (temperature mean/max/min, total precipitation, wind speed and solar radiation) from 21 climate models under 2 scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).

Weather variables

A global dataset at 0.25° degrees resolution of 6 essential surface variables (temperature mean/max/min, total precipitation, wind speed and solar radiation) from 21 climate models under 2 scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).

Indices

A global dataset at 0.25° degrees resolution of 40 indices based on temperature (mean/max/min) and total precipitation, from 4 climate models under 2 scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5).

Climate interactive map

Explore variables and hazards from high-resolution climate projections data in an animated interactive map.

Ready-to-use high-resolution climate projections

Climate interactive map